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AT THE OUTSET AKHTAR WAS VIRTUALLY ALONE IN THINKING HE COULD
DRIVE THE SOVIETS OUT OF AFGHANISTAN.
General Akhtar was the architect of
the Afghan Jehad. It was he who advocated Pakistani
participation, it was he who devised the overall military
strategy, and it was he who supervised its implementation so skillfully
that the Mujahideen defeated a superpower.
When the Soviets invaded Afghanistan in late December, 1979,
President Zia immediately sent for his Director-General of ISI.
He wanted answers to many questions, he wanted to know how he
(Pakistan) should react. Zia was a military man, and valued the
advise of his generals. On this occasion he turned to Akhtar,
the military chief of his national intelligence organization,
for opinions and assessment.
The President realized that Pakistan faced a highly dangerous
situation. To the east were 800 million hostile Hindus, while
now, to the west, the Red Army had occupied Mghamstan, so the
likelihood of Pakistan being squeezed out of existence between.
the two enemies was a real possibility. Not only that, but Zia’s
personal following inside Pakistan was, in some respects, shaky.
His authority was based not on popular votes, but on the
military, who governed with the use of military laws and
decrees. Zia was the Chief Martial Law Administrator
Internationally he had recently provoked worldwide consternation
and condemnation by executing the former primer, minister,
Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto He felt isolated and’ threatened. In these
circumstances the situation in Afghanistan took on added
importance, how Pakistan reacted would be critical, not just for
the country, but also for its president. Zia required from
General Akhtar an ‘appreciation of the situation’ on a national
scale, and he needed it quick.
Such
an appreciation is a military planning paper, a logical, step by
step examination of a given situation, where all relevant
factors are considered, along with likely enemy objectives or
reactions, to produce a recommended course of action, and an
outline plan .to achieve it. General Akhtar prepared a detailed
presentation on the situation as he saw it.
Akhtar and his staff had studied all aspects of the situation.
In addition to examining the military geography of Afghanistan,
its communications, and the layout of the border area (Durand
Line), they evaluated the Afghan people. Akhtar was convinced
that their warrior background, their historical tradition of
prickly independence, their fortitude and stamina, coupled with
the compelling moral force of a Jehad, would combine to produce
an unbeatable guerrilla army if properly directed and trained.
The ‘appreciation’ also covered politico- strategic matters,
such as Soviet global commitments, the prevailing Iran
situation, the US interests in the region, and India’s likely
reaction. His recommendation was that Pakistan should support
the Jehad. He argued that not only was Afghanistan Pakistan’s
front line, but that with the Communists in control there the
odds for further. territorial expansion into Pakistan through
Baluchistan were dramatically increased. Further, and of equal,
if not greater significance, Islam was under attack. Akhtar
considered that if Zia was to covertly support the Afghan’
resistance in a massive guerrilla war the Soviets could be
halted, even rolled back. He believed that Afghanistan could be
made into another Vietnam, with the Soviets in the shoes of the
Americans. He urged Zia to take the military option. It would
mean Pakistan secretly supporting the guerrillas with money,
arms, ammunition, training, and operational advice. Most
importantly it would entail offering the border areas of the
NWFP and Baluchistan as a sanctuary for both refugees and
guerrillas. Akhtar was well aware that for such a campaign to
succeed a safe haven, a secure base, from which men and
munitions could be channeled into Afghanistan was of paramount
importance.
General Akhtar had recognized the potential of the situation,
and from the beginning he had the courage to advocate taking on
the world’s second most powerful superpower on the battlefield.
President Zia agreed with him. It would be a Jehad against
Communist infidels; it would be Pakistan’s first line of defense
in the west; and it would regain for him some of his lost
international esteem. That religious, strategic, and political
factors all seemed to point in the same direction was indeed an
encouraging circumstance. Akhtar’s conviction that, provided the
Soviets were not goaded into outright invasion, it was a sound
military proposition clinched the matter. Pakistan would back
the Jehad - covertly.
The president’s instruction to Akhtar was that he should give
him two years in which to consolidate his position in Pakistan,
and internationally. To be more precise he told Akhtar that,
‘The water in Afghanistan must boil at the right temperature’.
For eight years Akhtar skillfully followed his orders. Although
at times the temperature rose sharply and threatened to boil,
such as when we conducted operations inside the Soviet Union, it
never actually spilled over. Throughout the campaign it required
considerable skill on Akhtar’s part to so apply military
pressure that it did not provoke a direct and open conflict
between the USSR and Pakistan. In the event his judgment was
proved sound, and although the Soviets shelled, bombed, and
carried out sabotage in the border areas of Pakistan there was
never any ground incursion.
At the outset Akhtar was virtually alone in thinking he could
drive the Soviets out of Afghanistan. Before I joined IS! and
the Jehad I too was skeptical of the ability of an army of
ragtag guerrillas to defeat a modern conventional force with all
its amour and aircraft. Certainly the US were far from
enthusiastic at the beginning. They adopted a wait and see
attitude. President Carter was locked into the intractable
Tehran hostage crisis, which soured American opinion against all
things Islamic, while advice from the Pentagon and CIA was that,
with or without Pakistan’s backing, Afghanistan was a lost
cause. They believed the Soviet Army would be in full control in
Afghanistan in a matter of weeks. It was a country within the
Soviet’s sphere of influence, so why throw good money after back
and antagonise the Soviets by supporting the Mujahideen. |